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http://worldcat.org/entity/work/id/377987370

SARS : down but still a threat

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  • "Severe acute respiratory syndrome"

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  • "This Intelligence Community Assessment (ICA) highlights the evolution of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and the potential implications of the disease for the United States under future scenarios. Even though SARS has infected and killed far fewer people than other common infectious diseases, it has had a disproportionately large economic and political impact because it spread in areas with broad international commercial links and received intense media attention as a mysterious new illness that seemed able to go anywhere and hit anyone. As the first infectious disease to emerge as a new cause of human illness in the 21st century, SARS underscores the growing importance of health issues in a globalized world. The future course of SARS will depend on a host of complex variables, making forecasting difficult. We constructed three scenarios to highlight various challenges that SARS might pose in the future. Scenario 1: SARS could resurface this fall but be limited to random outbreaks in a few countries, rendering it more of a public health nuisance than a crisis. Rapid activation of local and international surveillance systems would be key to containing the spread. Scenario 2: SARS could spread to poor countries in Africa or Asia, potentially generating more infections and deaths than before, but with relatively little international economic impact. The risk of spread would continue, however, even if SARS emerged in poor countries or isolated regions of Russia and China with weak health care systems. Scenario 3: SARS could come back this fall in the places it hit before -- such as China, Taiwan, Canada, and Singapore -- or hit harder in other well-connected places like the United States, Japan, Europe, India, or Brazil. Even if the number of infected persons were not significantly greater, the resurgence of the disease in globally linked countries probably would generate a significant impact again."

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  • "SARS down but still a threat"
  • "SARS : down but still a threat"
  • "SARS : down but still a threat"@en
  • "SARS: Down But Still a Threat"

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